310 matches | 2021-07-31 → 2026-02-04
Avg Goals
3.12
Over 2.5 Rate
59.4%
Home Win Rate
52.6%
Draw Rate
1.9%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 43 | 76.7% | 65.6% | +11.1% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 96 | 58.3% | 58.3% | 0% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 84 | 54.8% | 52.3% | +2.5% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 52 | 51.9% | 47.7% | +4.2% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 22 | 50% | 56.6% | -6.6% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 41 | 48.8% | 51.7% | -2.9% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 77 | 45.5% | 47.6% | -2.1% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 62 | 40.3% | 43.5% | -3.2% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 45 | 44.4% | 39.9% | +4.5% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 20 | 40% | 37.1% | +2.9% |
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