2,608 matches | 2021-08-06 → 2026-02-16
Avg Goals
2.52
Over 2.5 Rate
47.3%
Home Win Rate
43.6%
Draw Rate
25.9%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 30 | 50% | 65.6% | -15.6% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 66 | 51.5% | 58.2% | -6.7% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 80 | 53.8% | 52% | +1.8% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 97 | 40.2% | 47.3% | -7.1% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 133 | 39.8% | 43.1% | -3.3% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 160 | 38.8% | 39.7% | -0.9% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 140 | 39.3% | 36.8% | +2.5% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 167 | 35.9% | 34.3% | +1.6% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 158 | 37.3% | 32% | +5.3% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 158 | 29.1% | 30.1% | -1% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 70 | 32.9% | 28.9% | +4% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.2 | 48 | 31.2% | 31.6% | -0.4% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 429 | 25.4% | 30% | -4.6% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 261 | 30.3% | 28.9% | +1.4% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 75 | 74.7% | 74.4% | +0.3% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 142 | 66.2% | 65.2% | +1% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 264 | 54.5% | 58.1% | -3.6% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 299 | 52.8% | 52.1% | +0.7% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 307 | 48.9% | 47.3% | +1.6% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 284 | 41.2% | 43.1% | -1.9% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 250 | 46% | 39.8% | +6.2% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 187 | 30.5% | 36.8% | -6.3% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 162 | 35.2% | 34.4% | +0.8% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 121 | 32.2% | 32.2% | 0% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 110 | 34.5% | 30.1% | +4.4% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 27 | 22.2% | 28.9% | -6.7% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 51 | 60.8% | 64.6% | -3.8% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 234 | 63.7% | 58% | +5.7% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 502 | 49.6% | 52% | -2.4% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 695 | 47.2% | 47.5% | -0.3% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 626 | 43.9% | 43.5% | +0.4% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 335 | 38.8% | 40.2% | -1.4% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 115 | 46.1% | 37% | +9.1% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 31 | 35.5% | 34.7% | +0.8% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 107 | 58.9% | 63.9% | -5% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 792 | 58.7% | 57.8% | +0.9% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 853 | 53.3% | 52.5% | +0.8% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 493 | 50.3% | 47.8% | +2.5% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 202 | 38.1% | 43.5% | -5.4% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 85 | 37.6% | 39.9% | -2.3% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 42 | 45.2% | 37.2% | +8% |
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