191 matches | 2021-07-13 → 2026-02-12
Avg Goals
2.61
Over 2.5 Rate
51.8%
Home Win Rate
63.4%
Draw Rate
1.6%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8-2.0 | 20 | 70% | 51.8% | +18.2% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 29 | 51.7% | 47.6% | +4.1% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 22 | 40.9% | 43.2% | -2.3% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 26 | 53.8% | 39.7% | +14.1% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 33 | 33.3% | 36.8% | -3.5% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 54 | 61.1% | 64.7% | -3.6% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 51 | 51% | 58.9% | -7.9% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 30 | 50% | 52.1% | -2.1% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 22 | 27.3% | 47.7% | -20.4% |
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