Copa Del Rey

424 matches | 2021-11-17 → 2026-02-12

Avg Goals

3.06

Over 2.5 Rate

59.2%

Home Win Rate

30.4%

Draw Rate

2.1%

Lay Away — Odds Band Breakdown

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.0-1.2	73	98.6%	91.7%	+6.9%
1.2-1.4	46	82.6%	76%	+6.6%
1.4-1.6	45	77.8%	65.9%	+11.9%
1.6-1.8	21	66.7%	59%	+7.7%
1.8-2.0	26	76.9%	52.1%	+24.8%
2.0-2.2	38	63.2%	47%	+16.2%
2.2-2.4	23	52.2%	42.9%	+9.3%
2.4-2.6	21	61.9%	40.2%	+21.7%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
3.0-3.2	45	0%	32%	-32%
3.2-3.4	69	1.4%	30.2%	-28.8%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
3.2-3.4	20	30%	30.1%	-0.1%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.0-1.2	33	81.8%	87.4%	-5.6%
1.2-1.4	20	95%	76.8%	+18.2%
1.4-1.6	28	78.6%	64.8%	+13.8%
1.6-1.8	54	68.5%	58%	+10.5%
1.8-2.0	55	56.4%	52.2%	+4.2%
2.0-2.2	61	60.7%	47.3%	+13.4%
2.2-2.4	61	54.1%	43.4%	+10.7%
2.4-2.6	67	40.3%	40.1%	+0.2%
2.6-2.8	29	37.9%	36.8%	+1.1%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.4-1.6	49	59.2%	64.2%	-5%
1.6-1.8	117	53%	58.3%	-5.3%
1.8-2.0	70	42.9%	52.5%	-9.6%
2.0-2.2	48	43.8%	47.5%	-3.7%
2.2-2.4	30	30%	43.5%	-13.5%
2.4-2.6	34	23.5%	40%	-16.5%

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