Copa do Brasil

444 matches | 2021-07-28 → 2025-12-21

Avg Goals

2.42

Over 2.5 Rate

43.7%

Home Win Rate

47.3%

Draw Rate

18.2%

Lay Away — Odds Band Breakdown

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.2-1.4	33	78.8%	76.3%	+2.5%
1.4-1.6	34	64.7%	65.8%	-1.1%
1.6-1.8	31	41.9%	58.7%	-16.8%
1.8-2.0	25	40%	52%	-12%
2.0-2.2	26	57.7%	47.3%	+10.4%
2.2-2.4	21	38.1%	43.2%	-5.1%
2.4-2.6	22	36.4%	39.6%	-3.2%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
2.8-3.0	23	26.1%	34%	-7.9%
3.0-3.2	63	15.9%	31.9%	-16%
3.2-3.4	85	16.5%	30.2%	-13.7%
3.4-3.6	26	42.3%	28.9%	+13.4%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.0-1.2	27	100%	87.4%	+12.6%
1.2-1.4	26	69.2%	76%	-6.8%
1.4-1.6	35	82.9%	66.4%	+16.5%
1.6-1.8	37	78.4%	58.5%	+19.9%
2.2-2.4	24	50%	43%	+7%
3.0-3.2	20	60%	31.8%	+28.2%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.6-1.8	31	54.8%	58%	-3.2%
1.8-2.0	28	42.9%	52.8%	-9.9%
2.0-2.2	67	50.7%	46.9%	+3.8%
2.2-2.4	97	44.3%	43.2%	+1.1%
2.4-2.6	95	37.9%	39.6%	-1.7%
2.6-2.8	52	32.7%	37.1%	-4.4%
2.8-3.0	28	39.3%	34.6%	+4.7%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.4-1.6	105	61%	64.5%	-3.5%
1.6-1.8	164	59.8%	58.3%	+1.5%
1.8-2.0	80	50%	52.6%	-2.6%
2.0-2.2	27	51.9%	47.6%	+4.3%
2.2-2.4	29	55.2%	43.6%	+11.6%

Explore this league across all markets in our interactive tools