Copa Sudamericana

623 matches | 2021-07-14 → 2025-11-22

Avg Goals

2.53

Over 2.5 Rate

45.9%

Home Win Rate

45.7%

Draw Rate

23.6%

Lay Away — Odds Band Breakdown

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.6-1.8	21	85.7%	57.7%	+28%
1.8-2.0	24	58.3%	52.5%	+5.8%
2.4-2.6	25	48%	39.9%	+8.1%
2.6-2.8	23	52.2%	36.7%	+15.5%
2.8-3.0	20	25%	34.3%	-9.3%
3.0-3.2	25	44%	31.8%	+12.2%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
2.8-3.0	24	29.2%	34.1%	-4.9%
3.0-3.2	75	24%	31.9%	-7.9%
3.2-3.4	80	27.5%	30.1%	-2.6%
3.4-3.6	50	24%	28.9%	-4.9%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.0-1.2	43	81.4%	87.3%	-5.9%
1.2-1.4	58	74.1%	75.5%	-1.4%
1.4-1.6	79	59.5%	65.3%	-5.8%
1.6-1.8	74	55.4%	58%	-2.6%
1.8-2.0	60	45%	52%	-7%
2.0-2.2	42	47.6%	47%	+0.6%
2.2-2.4	41	41.5%	43%	-1.5%
2.4-2.6	43	32.6%	39.9%	-7.3%
2.8-3.0	27	44.4%	33.9%	+10.5%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.4-1.6	30	63.3%	65%	-1.7%
1.6-1.8	65	50.8%	58.1%	-7.3%
1.8-2.0	84	47.6%	51.7%	-4.1%
2.0-2.2	103	46.6%	47.2%	-0.6%
2.2-2.4	130	46.9%	43.4%	+3.5%
2.4-2.6	83	41%	40.1%	+0.9%
2.6-2.8	48	35.4%	36.9%	-1.5%
2.8-3.0	24	25%	34.4%	-9.4%

Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.

Odds Band	Matches	Hit Rate	Implied Prob	Gap
1.4-1.6	78	64.1%	64.6%	-0.5%
1.6-1.8	201	60.2%	58%	+2.2%
1.8-2.0	126	47.6%	52.7%	-5.1%
2.0-2.2	83	54.2%	47.8%	+6.4%
2.2-2.4	51	45.1%	43.1%	+2%
2.6-2.8	20	35%	37%	-2%

Explore this league across all markets in our interactive tools