1,415 matches | 2021-07-23 → 2026-02-16
Avg Goals
2.67
Over 2.5 Rate
48.6%
Home Win Rate
43.6%
Draw Rate
27.3%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 22 | 31.8% | 65.5% | -33.7% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 38 | 57.9% | 57.9% | 0% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 52 | 46.2% | 51.8% | -5.6% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 67 | 41.8% | 46.9% | -5.1% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 70 | 37.1% | 43.2% | -6.1% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 90 | 23.3% | 39.7% | -16.4% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 75 | 45.3% | 36.8% | +8.5% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 92 | 38% | 34.2% | +3.8% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 88 | 31.8% | 32% | -0.2% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 78 | 30.8% | 30.1% | +0.7% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 31 | 32.3% | 29% | +3.3% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.2 | 56 | 30.4% | 31.7% | -1.3% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 173 | 28.3% | 30% | -1.7% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 107 | 33.6% | 28.9% | +4.7% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 46 | 76.1% | 74.1% | +2% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 104 | 68.3% | 65.4% | +2.9% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 141 | 58.2% | 58.2% | 0% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 155 | 49% | 52% | -3% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 159 | 45.9% | 47.1% | -1.2% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 156 | 42.3% | 43.1% | -0.8% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 118 | 42.4% | 39.8% | +2.6% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 93 | 30.1% | 36.7% | -6.6% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 95 | 38.9% | 34.3% | +4.6% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 45 | 33.3% | 32.1% | +1.2% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 59 | 33.9% | 30.2% | +3.7% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 37 | 67.6% | 64.3% | +3.3% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 201 | 60.2% | 57.8% | +2.4% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 375 | 54.7% | 52.2% | +2.5% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 401 | 46.9% | 47.5% | -0.6% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 223 | 40.8% | 43.5% | -2.7% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 93 | 36.6% | 40.3% | -3.7% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 49 | 18.4% | 37.2% | -18.8% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 52 | 65.4% | 64.3% | +1.1% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 271 | 63.8% | 57.5% | +6.3% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 377 | 53.8% | 52.2% | +1.6% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 387 | 46.5% | 47.7% | -1.2% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 177 | 41.2% | 43.7% | -2.5% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 87 | 40.2% | 40% | +0.2% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 35 | 40% | 37.2% | +2.8% |
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