1,861 matches | 2021-07-01 → 2026-02-13
Avg Goals
2.43
Over 2.5 Rate
44.5%
Home Win Rate
47.1%
Draw Rate
27.1%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 29 | 69% | 58.1% | +10.9% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 54 | 50% | 51.9% | -1.9% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 46 | 56.5% | 47.3% | +9.2% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 69 | 47.8% | 43.2% | +4.6% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 82 | 31.7% | 39.9% | -8.2% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 64 | 39.1% | 36.9% | +2.2% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 103 | 26.2% | 34.2% | -8% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 77 | 48.1% | 31.9% | +16.2% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 70 | 25.7% | 30.1% | -4.4% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 35 | 40% | 28.9% | +11.1% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.2 | 212 | 35.4% | 31.9% | +3.5% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 456 | 29.4% | 30.1% | -0.7% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 169 | 28.4% | 28.9% | -0.5% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 82 | 79.3% | 74.5% | +4.8% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 169 | 68% | 65.7% | +2.3% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 293 | 57.7% | 58.1% | -0.4% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 249 | 54.2% | 52.1% | +2.1% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 186 | 45.7% | 47.2% | -1.5% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 162 | 46.9% | 43.1% | +3.8% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 145 | 46.2% | 39.8% | +6.4% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 97 | 35.1% | 36.8% | -1.7% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 96 | 32.3% | 34.4% | -2.1% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 64 | 35.9% | 32.1% | +3.8% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 57 | 38.6% | 30.1% | +8.5% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 23 | 39.1% | 28.9% | +10.2% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 61 | 60.7% | 57.4% | +3.3% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 156 | 55.1% | 51.8% | +3.3% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 305 | 49.8% | 47.1% | +2.7% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 505 | 45.1% | 43.2% | +1.9% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 359 | 45.7% | 40% | +5.7% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 250 | 32% | 37% | -5% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 143 | 33.6% | 34.5% | -0.9% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 53 | 47.2% | 32.3% | +14.9% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 384 | 66.1% | 64.5% | +1.6% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 857 | 55.5% | 58.1% | -2.6% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 381 | 51.4% | 52.7% | -1.3% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 154 | 44.8% | 47.7% | -2.9% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 51 | 43.1% | 43.6% | -0.5% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 21 | 33.3% | 40% | -6.7% |
Explore this league across all markets in our interactive tools