246 matches | 2025-08-01 → 2026-02-09
Avg Goals
N/A
Over 2.5 Rate
50.4%
Home Win Rate
44.7%
Draw Rate
22.4%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 21 | 76.2% | 64.8% | +11.4% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 66 | 56.1% | 58.1% | -2% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 44 | 63.6% | 53.1% | +10.5% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 37 | 45.9% | 47.3% | -1.4% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 26 | 26.9% | 43.7% | -16.8% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 22 | 36.4% | 40.1% | -3.7% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 45 | 64.4% | 58.5% | +5.9% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 45 | 57.8% | 52.4% | +5.4% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 27 | 44.4% | 47.1% | -2.7% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 48 | 37.5% | 43.5% | -6% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 32 | 53.1% | 40% | +13.1% |
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