783 matches | 2021-07-16 → 2025-07-28
Avg Goals
2.85
Over 2.5 Rate
53.9%
Home Win Rate
41.1%
Draw Rate
27.8%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 58 | 69% | 64.9% | +4.1% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 263 | 56.3% | 58% | -1.7% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 278 | 55.8% | 52.4% | +3.4% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 126 | 43.7% | 47.9% | -4.2% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 43 | 41.9% | 43.6% | -1.7% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 47 | 61.7% | 57.1% | +4.6% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 113 | 55.8% | 51.7% | +4.1% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 250 | 44.4% | 47.2% | -2.8% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 186 | 45.7% | 43.5% | +2.2% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 114 | 41.2% | 39.9% | +1.3% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 41 | 41.5% | 37% | +4.5% |
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