1,286 matches | 2021-07-15 → 2025-07-28
Avg Goals
2.42
Over 2.5 Rate
42.2%
Home Win Rate
43%
Draw Rate
28.2%
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 20 | 80% | 64.9% | +15.1% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 53 | 50.9% | 57.5% | -6.6% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 52 | 51.9% | 51.9% | 0% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 59 | 52.5% | 47.1% | +5.4% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 58 | 37.9% | 43% | -5.1% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 61 | 32.8% | 39.9% | -7.1% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 60 | 30% | 36.8% | -6.8% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 72 | 40.3% | 34.4% | +5.9% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 53 | 26.4% | 32.1% | -5.7% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 65 | 26.2% | 30.1% | -3.9% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 21 | 23.8% | 28.9% | -5.1% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.8-3.0 | 94 | 33% | 34% | -1% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 264 | 34.8% | 32% | +2.8% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 254 | 31.1% | 30.1% | +1% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 94 | 28.7% | 28.9% | -0.2% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2-1.4 | 49 | 83.7% | 73.8% | +9.9% |
| 1.4-1.6 | 112 | 71.4% | 65.9% | +5.5% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 131 | 55.7% | 58% | -2.3% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 118 | 55.9% | 52.2% | +3.7% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 118 | 44.1% | 47.2% | -3.1% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 121 | 45.5% | 43.2% | +2.3% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 91 | 44% | 39.7% | +4.3% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 74 | 31.1% | 36.8% | -5.7% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 65 | 30.8% | 34.1% | -3.3% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 53 | 26.4% | 32% | -5.6% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 49 | 40.8% | 30.2% | +10.6% |
| 3.4-3.6 | 21 | 33.3% | 28.9% | +4.4% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6-1.8 | 33 | 63.6% | 57.3% | +6.3% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 101 | 56.4% | 52.2% | +4.2% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 184 | 50% | 47.1% | +2.9% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 226 | 45.1% | 43.3% | +1.8% |
| 2.4-2.6 | 226 | 36.3% | 40% | -3.7% |
| 2.6-2.8 | 209 | 40.2% | 37% | +3.2% |
| 2.8-3.0 | 153 | 36.6% | 34.5% | +2.1% |
| 3.0-3.2 | 75 | 32% | 32.3% | -0.3% |
| 3.2-3.4 | 43 | 25.6% | 30.2% | -4.6% |
Actual hit rate vs implied probability by odds band. Green = market underprices (opportunity). Red = market overprices.
| Odds Band | Matches | Hit Rate | Implied Prob | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4-1.6 | 379 | 65.7% | 64.9% | +0.8% |
| 1.6-1.8 | 450 | 60.4% | 58.4% | +2% |
| 1.8-2.0 | 241 | 51.5% | 52.6% | -1.1% |
| 2.0-2.2 | 118 | 46.6% | 47.7% | -1.1% |
| 2.2-2.4 | 43 | 34.9% | 44% | -9.1% |
Explore this league across all markets in our interactive tools